Friday, November 1, 2013

Section V XC Championships - Info and Class A Preview

So, as many have heard, I am leaving Xerox after 26 years of service, to pursue a very exciting opportunity.  Since next Tuesday is my last day, I have been swamped at work, and have not been able to do more than the Class A analysis for now.  We'll see what tonight brings - we are hosting the pasta party which may be conducive to adding additional races, or not...

First, the basics for tomorrow.  The Section V Championship meet is once again at Genesee Community College, just outside of Batavia - you can see the map of how I get there at last year's info page.  DO NOT look at the start times on that page, because they shuffled things for this year.  Here is the race schedule for this year:
  • 10:30 Boys Class C Race
  • 11:00 Boys Class DD/D Race
  • 11:30 Girls Class C Race
  • 12:00 Girls Class DD/D race
  • 12:30 Awards for Classes C, DD, D Races
  • 1:30 Boys Class A Race
  • 2:00 Boys Class B Race
  • 2:30 Girls Class A Race
  • 3:00 Girls Class B Race
  • 3:30 Awards for Classes A, B


Now for the forecast - up first are the boys, so here is the computer's prediction for team scores (note - I have excluded the city schools because I am not sure which schools may have complete teams, and I have lost track of how the schools-within-the-schools alter the XC classifications):

Boys A
1 Thomas 58
2 Fairport 87
3 McQuaid 127
4 Irondequoit 132
5 Victor 152
6 Hilton 176
7 Penfield 180
8 Rush Henrietta 196
9 Schroeder 220
10 Canandaigua 243
11 Athena 284
12 Churchville Chili 297
13 Spencerport 314
14 Gates Chili 383
15 Brockport 411

McQuaid has not participated in the same races as Monroe County teams very often, so I tend to believe they will perform better than listed here and have a decent chance of getting by Fairport for second.

The top individuals, with some questionable time predictions (Mickey should be be able to break 15:40):
Rank Name Grade School Proj. Time
1 Burke, Mickey 12 Rush Henrietta 15:57
2 Dyrland, Josh 12 Irondequoit 16:10
3 Ciolkowski, Nick 11 McQuaid 16:10
4 Ranke, Tyler 12 Hilton 16:39
5 Johnson, Keith 12 Thomas 16:40
6 Howe, Nate 12 McQuaid 16:44
7 Shanahan, Luke 12 Victor 16:48
8 Neamtu, Nick 10 Thomas 16:51
9 Mertens, George 12 Victor 16:53
10 Kaukeinen, Britt 10 Irondequoit 16:58
11 Witt, Kevin 12 Thomas 17:01
12 White, Jimmy 12 Fairport 17:02
13 Goldstein, Josh 12 Thomas 17:05
14 Yost, Nathan 12 Victor 17:06
15 Grouse, David 12 Fairport 17:13
16 Kozlowski, Mike 12 Penfield 17:14
17 Kolankiewicz, Thomas 12 Athena 17:14
18 Mallow, Mike 10 Fairport 17:16
19 Plummer, Bailey 11 Spencerport 17:18
20 Hatta, Olivier 12 Fairport 17:18
21 Vestri, Justin 11 Thomas 17:19
22 Sargeant, Seamus 12 Fairport 17:25
23 Glavin, Donovan 10 McQuaid 17:27
24 Shoemaker, Jamie 9 Athena 17:34
25 Zugnoni, Josh 10 Rush Henrietta 17:34
Girls A
Here I forgot to include Mercy, and am out of time to add them in.  Penfield proved themselves last week, but the computer still thinks Thomas can win, if Ellie Songer is back in action, otherwise it will be Penfield.

1 Thomas 56
2 Penfield 69
3 Rush Henrietta 105
4 Fairport 109
5 Schroeder 111
6 Hilton 132
7 Canandaigua 211
8 Victor 244
9 Irondequoit 273
10 Churchville Chili 275
11 Brockport 318
12 Spencerport 335
13 Athena 357
14 Gates Chili 372
And the top individuals:
1 Lembo, Katie 12 Penfield 18:30
2 Jensen, Kennedy 12 Canandaigua 18:54
3 Albrecht, Autumn 11 Brockport 19:02
4 Cooper, Alex 11 Rush Henrietta 19:16
5 Quinn, Siobhan 11 Rush Henrietta 19:25
6 Vestri, Amanda 9 Thomas 19:36
7 Paratore, Amanda 12 Schroeder 19:56
8 Songer, Ellie 10 Thomas 20:04
9 Ashton, Claire 9 Thomas 20:07
10 Adams, Laura 12 Thomas 20:13
11 Sedita, Erin 12 Fairport 20:17
12 Kostarellis, Anna 9 Churchville Chili 20:18
13 Kunigan, Mary 11 Hilton 20:27
14 Leo, Trista 12 Penfield 20:33
15 Sedita, Megan 10 Penfield 20:33
16 Nortz, Heather 11 Fairport 20:37
17 Wiseman, Julia 11 Schroeder 20:39
18 Cok, Sarah 11 Penfield 20:40
19 Canessa, Kelsie 9 Schroeder 20:43
20 Swider, Katie 11 Fairport 20:57
21 Miller, Claire 10 Penfield 20:59
22 Fahrenholz, Tory 10 Penfield 21:00
23 Mechler, Brittany 11 Thomas 21:01
24 Horan, Shannon 11 Fairport 21:02
25 Watson, Sammy 9 Rush Henrietta 21:03

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