Friday, October 29, 2010

Monroe County Champs Preview - Individuals

I have posted the individual predictions on our Team Google Groups site (the Fans site upload is not working). The Varsity Girls B has not been uploaded yet. I will add some of the predictions here tonight, but I will not provide full disclosure of all races on the Blog.

Thursday, October 28, 2010

Monroe County Champs Preview - Boys Teams

Here are the predictions for the Boys team results at the Monroe County Championships on Saturday. The same caveats apply as for the Girls preview. These totals are based on actual performances in meets against other Monroe County teams (league meets and various invitationals). The predictions can be off substantially in the cases where runners "jog through" races, or where a runners are injured and may not be coming back at full speed. Finally, the rumor is that R-H may not run their top guys (makes sense, with several weekends still ahead for them), and other teams have "thrown" Counties in the past, and may do so again. That being said, here is how the team competition could shape up (again, the notes attempt to explain the, sometimes dramatic, differences from the pre-season outlook that was posted here):


Rank Team Pre-County Notes
1 Rush Henrietta 80 On Track
2 Sutherland 104 Tighter pack
3 Brighton 138 Assumes Ronchetti returns
4 Mendon 189 Improving youngsters
5 Hilton 189 Injuries?
6 Schroeder 205 Improved seniors
7 Thomas 210 Youngsters picking up some of Top 3's drop
8 Brockport 231 Big 2 became Big 3 and may have 5th man
9 Honeoye Falls Lima 232 And this assumes Hoose returns
10 Victor 234 Sleeper - w/ Top 2 often running easy
11 Irondequoit 278 No seniors - wait 'til next year
12 Fairport 283 Nice rally thanks to large squad
13 Gates Chili 345 Well, Jordan is running quite well
14 Arcadia 346 Lipani got some help
15 Athena 376 Top 3 are new this year and Ngabo is tough
16 Penfield 380 Expected more support behind Gumina
17 Batavia 419 Never can tell with small teams
18 Canandaigua 543 Some gains
19 Odyssey 549 Saving it for end of year?
20 Olympia 586 New #2 is the improvement
21 Churchville Chili 587 A new Scott Bagley was not enough
22 Spencerport 663 Slipped more than expected
23 East Rochester 723 Small team
24 East Irondequoit 770 Small team

Wednesday, October 27, 2010

Monroe County Champs Preview - Girls Teams

This weekend brings us the Monroe County Championship meet, at Genesee Valley Park on Saturday. Complete meet information is available here, and the course map is here. The order of events is as follows:

11:15 Modified Boys
11:45 Modified Girls
1:00 JV Boys
1:30 JV Girls
2:00 Varsity Boys
2:30 Varsity Girls
3:00 Varsity “B” Boys
3:30 Varsity “B” Girls

The JV races will have our 9th and 10th graders that are not in the top 7, and the Varsity B races will have our 11th and 12th graders.

Back in September, I posted a pre-season prediction for the girls race at Counties. It was based entirely on 2009 results and we've seen many changes over the course of the season, so here is the current prediction, with some comments regarding the changes since pre-season. The difficulty in making the County meet predictions is that there are some teams that don't compete all-out at Counties, with Sectionals, States, Federations, and Nike Cross (Qualifiers and perhaps Nationals) all still to come.

That being said, here is how it may shape up:

Rank Team Pre-County Notes
1 Honeoye Falls Lima 75 Always seem to reload
2 Mendon 87 Pack has moved up
3 Canandaigua 101 Not performing to last year's level
4 Fairport 123 Very solid 1-4, but 5 is a ?
5 Penfield 152 Great 1-2 punch
6 Rush Henrietta 191 Added 8th grader, saved points
7 Hilton 252 Disappointing, but improving
8 Sutherland 253 Pack has dropped a bit
9 Thomas 260 Track stars struggling with XC
10 Schroeder 262 3 frosh in top 6 for big improvement
11 Victor 266 A whole new team behind Lawler
12 Irondequoit 345 Not running last year's times
13 Brighton 346 About as expected
14 Athena 358 Nice improvement by top 3
15 Brockport 369 Improved up front plus added 2nd frosh
16 Churchville Chili 401 O'Neill is all alone
17 Spencerport 490 Was Saxton injured, rest faded
18 Gates Chili 498 Top 2, then big gap and no 5th
19 Odyssey 509 At least they have a complete team
20 East Irondequoit 583 As expected
21 Olympia 606 No help from pack
22 Batavia 684 Preseason was a funny error
23 East Rochester 697 At least they have a complete team
24 Arcadia 722 22:27 and up, even at McQuaid

Monday, October 25, 2010

Rankings

Well, the only rankings that really count are the results of the last meet of the season; however, it is fun to speculate how our teams stack up against Section V and the rest of the State.

A new set of rankings are out this morning, and here is what we see. From the Section V Coaches Poll for this week, our girls have solidified their hold on the #8 spot, while creeping closer to R-H and Hilton in the voting. And the boys have jumped up from "also receiving votes" to the number 6 spot - very closely bunched with Brockport, Brighton and Wayne in 4-7.

A look at the latest NY State Rankings for girls does not list Schroeder, but shows that we are not far off. Fairport remains #3 in AA and #6 overall and Penfield is still #14 in AA. Class A is loaded with Section V teams: Mendon #2 (and #5 overall), HF-L #5, Canandaigua #6, Sutherland #11, Mercy #18 and Victor #23. West Seneca West from Section 6 holds on to the #25 spot in Class AA, and it is clear that we could give them a serious run for the money.

Finally, the NY State Rankings for boys has some new teams ranked in Class AA. Brockport debuts at #22, after their fine race over at the Burnt Hills invitational at Saratoga Park. And checking in at #24 are the boys from Schroeder! Now it's time to prove they still underestimate us, by turning in solid performances at Counties and Sectionals!

Around the League

The craziness continues at work, so this has been sitting unfinished for a few days...

Last Tuesday marked the final league meet date of the 2010 season, and there was certainly some excitement to be had.

Mendon East

A week ago, Shaylyn Tuite had run a very fast time on this course, beating her own best league meet time on the course (from 8th grade) by 36 seconds in becoming the first girl to break 19 minutes in a league meet, since the leader board started in 2005. This week she brought things to a new level, running 18:03, which tops even the best Monroe County Championship time recorded (18:06.8 by Hilton's Amanda Griggs in 2005). The R-H girls looked good, comfortably defeating Sutherland, 18-37.

The R-H boys won easily over Sutherland, although judging by their spread (and no Mickey Burke), they were not going all out across the board. Sutherland's tight spread (just 31 seconds!) proved to be too much for Mendon, 23-32.

Mendon West

The Victor girls ended any suspense by finishing 1-2-3 over Brighton, so Brighton's 54-second gap was not going to save them.

MJ Erb took the day off and Victor's 4-5 runners were no match for Brighton's 3-7 pack as Brighton rolled, 21-40. Athena had made an appearance in the Class A state rankings, but even without Erb, Victor defeated them, 19-40.

Parma Park

The highlighted matchup here were the Fairport girls vs. Canandaigua, with the Division 1 title on the line. Meghan McCormick led Canandaigua with the win in a "course record" 19:03, running 13 seconds faster than Leila Mantilla's time from a month ago. But Fairport took 2-3-5-6 to secure the win, even though their 5th girl was over 2 minutes back. Fairport's 27-29 win gives them the Division crown.

The Brockport boys went 1-2-3, as expected and their 5th man, a 9th grader was only 1:26 back, so they are suddenly a much better team. Odyssey just jogged thru the race.

Seneca Park

Sadly, Leila Mantilla did not run this race for Penfield, so what could have been a very exciting match-up with HF-L, turned in to a 23-32 win for HF-L.

Things were more interesting on the Boys side. Irondequoit did not run their best, so HF-L was able to sweep with wins over Irondequoit (26-31) and Penfield (26-30). Penfield's 2-6 pack (only 1 senior) was just a little too far back and they lost to Irondequoit, 26-31.

Webster Park

Both the girls and boys races seemed to be capable of generating some excitement as Hilton, Thomas and Schroeder all seemed to be fairly closely matched.

The girls all came ready to race. A large group of girls followed Val and Amanda up the hill after the bridge during the first mile. Over the course of the race, the lead group gradually dwindled - Thomas falling off first, with Val and Amanda running the last mile in just over 6 minutes and pulling away from the Hilton girls. Annelise gradually passed the top 4 Thomas girls, to secure the win over Thomas, and momentarily caught the 4th Hilton girl, which could have kept Schroeder's hopes alive; however, Hilton ultimately placed 7 runners ahead of Schroeder's 5th and prevailed, 27-30.

While the Hilton girls came to race, the Hilton boys did not. They were content to run through this one, coming off their trip to Saratoga last weekend, and facing a couple of tough non-division opponents. That left the meet as a simple dual meet featuring Thomas and Schroeder in a battle for the Division title. Jared, Thomas's top runner looked ill early on and finished back in the pack. Coupled with excellent races by Justin, Will and Joe, that led to a 22-33 win for Schroeder.

Thursday, October 21, 2010

Schroeder's First Division Title

Well, the boys got it done yesterday! The solid win over Thomas means that Schroeder has their first XC division title since the Webster schools split. I'm not sure when the unified school last won a division title, but it has been a while. Great work guys. The overall record of 20-3 meant that we finished second overall in Monroe County, behind Sutherland (22-1). The 20 wins set a new school record, since prior to the Schroeder/Thomas split, it was not possible to record 20 victories in a season.

My favorite statistic for the boys is their record against state-ranked teams, head-to-head in our League meets. It is an incredible 7-3, with one loss coming by one point to Mendon, thanks to a fence and flag placement. For an unranked team to put up that sort of record against ranked teams, it must show some impressive determination.

And how about those girls! Since the schools split, the Schroeder girls had not been able to post 10 wins in one season. The final record of 16-7 this year surpassed all expectations, and even included wins over state-ranked teams from Sutherland and Victor. The 1-2-3 finish against Thomas yesterday guaranteed the second win against our friends from across town, the other being an exciting 28-28 win in 2006. Since the results have been tracked on the internet, our average loss against Hilton has been 16-46 in the 7 previous years. Yesterday, it was 27-30 and the meet was even closer than the score indicates.

Now it is time to focus on the Championship races!

Tuesday, October 19, 2010

No Boston For You

Last night I felt like I was dealing with the Soup Nazi from Seinfeld fame. Since I have a job (well, two at this time of year), and we are crazy busy right now, I did not have more than perhaps a spare minute with an internet connection from 7am yesterday, until I got home after 6pm. Since I also had a meeting from 7-9pm, I didn't have time to try to enter the Boston Marathon before 7pm. After I got home from the meeting, I went to the registration page to find that the registration had closed!

It turns out that the marathon field was filled between 9am, when the registration opened and 5:03pm. Last year it took two months to fill, and that happened just a few days before I ran my qualifier in Philadelphia, so I wasn't able to enter in 2010.

Now, there was no registration available, except during the work day. Perhaps if unemployment were not so high, there would have been a chance for working stiffs to register.

This is quite disappointing. I was hoping to run Boston again while Chelsea is still in school there, perhaps as my last "real" marathon (as opposed to recreational marathon), but now it looks as though I will have to qualify again in order to do so.

Final League Meet

It should be exciting at Webster Park tomorrow. The boys and girls teams both face very close competitors in Hilton and our friends from Thomas. The scouting reports have been uploaded to our Google Groups sites.

Go Warriors!

Monday, October 18, 2010

Sunday's Post

Our JV team made the trip to Alden yesterday. Results are available here.

It looks like a few of our closest competitors made the journey to the Albany area for the Burnt Hills Invitational at Saratoga Springs Park. Complete results are available here. Several teams that are state-ranked in Class AA or Class A were in the Varsity 3 races. On the boys side, the top 10 with average time and last week's ranking:
1 Arlington 15:49.47 (AA #10)
2 Burnt Hills 15:52.76 (A #1)
3 Queensbury 16:05.69 (A #5)
4 Niskayuna 16:24.13 (AA #20)
5 Guilderland 16:27.30 (NR)
6 Brockport 16:26.24 (NR)
7 Hilton 16:29.38 (AA #22)
8 Victor 16:30.09 (A #10)
9 Bethlehem 16:36.55 (NR)
10 Monroe-Woodbury 16:39.71 (AA #24)

For the girls:
1 Burnt Hills 18:33.87 (A #2)
2 Greenwich 18:58.09 (C! #1)
3 Queensbury 18:43.07 (A #1)
4 North Shore 18:59.87 (A #5)
5 Arlington 19:00.67 (AA #5)
6 Guilderland 19:05.20 (AA #11)
7 Shaker 19:21.50 (AA #17)
8 Lincoln-Sudbury 19:28.23 (NR - Mass.)
9 Holy Names 19:23.26 (A #8)
10 Columbia 19:34.60 (NR)
11 Hilton 19:43.24
15 Victor 20:17.78
17 Brockport 20:34.67

These results indicate that Tuesday's meet with Hilton should be very interesting. And of course we still remember that the Thomas boys edged us by 0.15 seconds per man (and 11 points) at McQuaid, and their girls got us by 0.47 seconds per person (although we did beat them in the team scoring).

Friday, October 15, 2010

Bulldog Invitational

Tomorrow the JV team (minus a few juniors that have to take the PSATs) travels to Alden for the Bulldog Invitational. This means we will be participating in just two races:
12:00pm JV boys
12:30pm JV girls

The course is quite flat with a very nice woods loop and has produced some fast times in the past. If the rain is mostly over, the course should be in good condition for the meet.

Our JV boys are the defending champions at this meet, but I expect East Aurora will be there and running strong (last year they had been hit hard by the flu). Here are links to last year's results, and 2008 results, when Mendon and Sutherland also made the trip.

Around the League

Sorry, this was supposed to be posted last night.

Black Creek Park

The Hilton boys, still not at full strength defeated HF-L, still without Hoose, 24-31 in what looks like an interesting race, as HF-L was just 16 seconds away from picking up 4 points. In the girls race, Hilton’s top 4 ran together, well back from HF-L’s top 5.

Center Park

It was Arcadia’s Lou Lipani’s turn to outrun Travis Jordon of Gates-Chili for the win, leading Arcadia to an easy win. The Canandaigua girls took 8 of the top 10 spots to win easily.

Mendon East

It looks like this was an exciting place to be this week, with the Brighton, Mendon and Thomas boys squaring off. Brighton was led by Scotty Smolensky’s comfortable margin of victory over Jared, then their next 4 were within 15 seconds of each other to all finish in the top 10 as they defeated Mendon, 22-34 and Thomas, 25-32. Mendon edged Thomas, 28-28 with the sixth man displacing and breaking the tie. Cole was just one second behind Drew Zeccola, and Thomas is still relying on 3 freshman and a sophomore behind their big 3.

For the girls, Mendon seemed to take it a bit easy, after their top 3 went 1-2-3 overall to clinch all of the dual meets. Thomas took 5-8, with Molly just a bit farther back.

Parma Park

R-H (did you see their nice write-up in today’s D&C?) ran their top guys for an easy win. Brockport, with their 5th man still over 2 minutes back (but closing the gap), took advantage of MJ Erb sitting out to defeat Victor 28-29. The deciding spot was Brockport’s 4th man finishing two seconds ahead of Victor’s 3rd. There was no sign of R-H’s 8th grade girl in the results, and they lost to Victor, 27-28.

Webster Park

AJ became the first runner to break 16 minutes on this course in a meet other than the battle of the unbeaten teams that culminated the 2008 season. Sutherland’s 2-5 finished 9 seconds apart, between Geoff and Justin M to secure the win over Schroeder, 24-33. The individual surprise was the third place finish by Athena’s Alex Ngabo – making him the third fastest newcomer to Monroe County XC, behind only R-H’s Mickey Burke and Nick Watson.

The girls race featured the hometown Schroeder Warriors against state-ranked teams from Fairport (4th in Class AA), Penfield (18th in AA) and Sutherland (10th in A). It drew the largest crowd I’ve seen for a league meet, in quite some time. It was a very exciting race, with Fairport’s Ashton Hughes splitting up Penfield’s dynamic duo of Leila Mantilla and Katie Lembo, to allow Fairport to hang on for a 27-28 win. The Schroeder girls really stepped up with Val and Amanda posting the best Schroeder times on this course by nearly a minute (19:30 and 19:31) and Annelise and Sarah finished comfortably ahead of Sutherland’s 3-6 pack to secure a 25-31 upset over Sutherland.

Tuesday, October 12, 2010

Scouting Report and Orienteering Opportunity

The scouting reports, with computer predictions for today's meet. have been uploaded to our Google Groups. They show some interesting races for this afternoon.

Also, there is an interesting Orienteering opportunity that can [optionally] be used for practice tomorrow. The Rochester Orienteering Club is hosting a meet at Webster Park. It is likely to be a relatively small event, given the starting times, but it will include some people that are traveling from afar, moving from last weekend's meet in Hamilton, ON (via a race on Goat Island at Niagara Falls) and headed to Albany for the US Classic Championships this coming weekend.

The cost for anyone from the XC team is $3 ($5 with chili, etc. included afterwards). It will be a good substitute for Wednesday's practice, with a chance to do a Sprint race (short, with relatively easy navigation - Zach should be under 20 minutes), followed by a 60-minute Score-O event, where you attempt to visit as many controls as possible. These events can/should be done at less than full speed, but that may actually yield better results, if your navigation improves.

The Sprint starts are from 2-4pm and the Score-O is a mass start event at 4:30.

Monday, October 11, 2010

Home Cooking

After a restful 4-day weekend (for the kids, if not the coaches), our league meet schedule continues tomorrow on our "home" course at Webster Park. The competition tomorrow should be formidable as we face some of the more established programs from Sutherland, Penfield, Fairport and Athena.

As of last week, when Monroe County had an incredible 10 teams show up in the Girls State Rankings, Fairport was ranked #3 in the state for Class AA, Penfield was #14 and Sutherland was #10 in Class A. Our girls have already knocked off #19, Victor, so this should be an interesting race with Sutherland - at McQuaid, they averaged 4 seconds per runner faster.

The boys' challenge is facing Sutherland, #2 in Class A (thanks to a 24-second 1 thru 5 spread at McQuaid), while fending off Athena (#18 in Class A) and the quality teams from Penfield and Fairport.

Friday, October 8, 2010

Around the League

Some notes from Tuesday's league meets:

Harris Whalen

The Thomas boys took advantage of R-H resting their varsity, to remain undefeated in Division 1 and take sole possession of first place, with R-H losing to Penfield as well. Jared and Cole finished together, 1-2, just barely ahead of Tyler Gumina from Penfield. Thomas had 9th graders in their 4-5-6 spots, running 18:09, 18:40 and 19:06.

On the girls side, Canandaigua edged Penfield, 27-29, despite Leila Mantilla winning again, this time in an impressive 19:09, 2nd fastest in recent years at the park.

Mendon East

Athena’s boys had an easy time, taking 4 of the top 6 and 6 of the top 10 spots, with Odyssey their closest competition. There was the same result in the girls race, although all of the scores were closer.

Parma

Schroeder boys and girls swept, with further research showing that this is the first time the girls have swept in the internet results era (2003-2010).

Seneca Park

Victor defeated the Mendon boys, 27-29, with Mendon well off their performances at East Aurora and McQuaid. The Mendon girls also seemed to have a post-McQuaid letdown as HF-L turned the tables on them, in the battle of the two remaining undefeated Monroe County teams. While Mendon prevailed 91-97 at McQuaid, HF-L took the dual meet, 24-31. Of course Shalyn Tuite still managed to knock 33 seconds off her course record, winning in 18:14.

Northampton Park

Brockport boys have closed their 1-5 spread to 1:56, but it was still not quite enough to surprise Sutherland, as they lost by just 28-29. Sutherland’s spread was just 38 seconds, as they remained the only undefeated team in Monroe County league competition. Hilton fell back off after their solid McQuaid performance and were edged by Brockport, 26-30. The Hilton girls were not at full strength at McQuaid, but seemed to be here, as the edged Sutherland, 25-30.

Wednesday, October 6, 2010

8-0!

Well, the boys and girls each completed the sweep yesterday, earning wins over Brighton, Gates-Chili, Greece Olympia and Batavia. This was the first time in the internet era (internet results go back to 2003, so that is 8 seasons of XC) that the boys have defeated Brighton. Brighton had been the only remaining team that Schroeder had not beaten during that time.

The girls had a similar accomplishment, beating Brighton for the first time in the internet era. That leaves 9 teams remaining for the girls to tackle (it was 11 before the season, but Victor was also removed from the list last week): Rush-Henrietta, Hilton, Penfield, Sutherland, Athena, Fairport, Mendon, plus Canandaigua and HF-L, both relatively new to the league (added in 2009).

The girls record stands at 11-4. This is the first time the girls have hit double digits in wins, during the internet era. With just one more win in the last two weeks, they will ensure a winning record, which has not happened since before 2003. You go girls!

Monday, October 4, 2010

Running Behind

That's me that is running behind, certainly not the team. I'm sure everyone knows that the results from McQuaid are available at the McQuaid website. In addition to the results from each race, the page includes "merged results" for boys and girls. There are a couple of problems with the merged results: the conditions changed throughout the day (and the course actually became slightly slower late in the day, due to the areas of mud that became soupier) and the merged results add teams that are irrelevant to our comparisons with other Monroe County teams. That being said, they are fun to look at, and see how strong our teams have become.

Tomorrow's meet is over at Parma Park. Here is a link to directions from Schroeder. It is a bit of a hike, but the meet should be work the drive for fans as Brighton is ranked 9th in the state for Class A, and their girls seem every bit as good as Victor, that gave us a very nice race last week.