R-H Girls, Not Boys, The Team To Beat

I was a little surprised to see R-H ranked as the top girls team in Section V at TullyRunners, because I thought they seemed too inconsistent.  However, the computer has thrown out last year's seniors, crunched the numbers, and determined that R-H's late-season improvement outweighed the inconsistency, and put them on top, also.  The computer has HF-L in fourth, behind Penfield, but that is likely due to HF-L not putting out full effort in the league meets, which are not considered by TR, but are considered by the computer.  I expect a very close four-way battle among those teams plus Canandaigua.

After a small gap, the computer spits out Victor and Schroeder.  We know the setbacks that we have to overcome to meet and exceed that expectation.  Hilton is a close 7th, followed by a whole batch of quality teams that are just one or two runners from being title contenders: Mendon, Fairport, Irondequoit, Thomas and Sutherland.  I don't think any other teams have much of a chance to crack the top 10, as there is a big gap in the rankings.

Girls preseason rankings are less reliable than the Boys, because it is much easier for newcomers to make a difference.  The rankings do give us a good starting point to examine our league schedule (which, by the way, start in just nine days - against ER, Eastridge, C-C and a team that Webster Schroeder has not beaten since the schools split, Mendon).  Anyway, here is what the computer says:

Rush Henrietta	104
Canandaigua	113
Penfield	119
Honeoye Falls Lima	136
Victor	175
Schroeder	176
Hilton	198
Mendon	233
Fairport	242
Irondequoit	244
Thomas	265
Sutherland	274
Churchville Chili	335
Brighton	371
Brockport	388
Athena	402
East Irondequoit	414
Batavia	535
Gates Chili	659
East Rochester	677
Odyssey	inc
Spencerport	inc
Arcadia	inc
Olympia	inc