Thursday, October 28, 2010

Monroe County Champs Preview - Boys Teams

Here are the predictions for the Boys team results at the Monroe County Championships on Saturday. The same caveats apply as for the Girls preview. These totals are based on actual performances in meets against other Monroe County teams (league meets and various invitationals). The predictions can be off substantially in the cases where runners "jog through" races, or where a runners are injured and may not be coming back at full speed. Finally, the rumor is that R-H may not run their top guys (makes sense, with several weekends still ahead for them), and other teams have "thrown" Counties in the past, and may do so again. That being said, here is how the team competition could shape up (again, the notes attempt to explain the, sometimes dramatic, differences from the pre-season outlook that was posted here):


Rank Team Pre-County Notes
1 Rush Henrietta 80 On Track
2 Sutherland 104 Tighter pack
3 Brighton 138 Assumes Ronchetti returns
4 Mendon 189 Improving youngsters
5 Hilton 189 Injuries?
6 Schroeder 205 Improved seniors
7 Thomas 210 Youngsters picking up some of Top 3's drop
8 Brockport 231 Big 2 became Big 3 and may have 5th man
9 Honeoye Falls Lima 232 And this assumes Hoose returns
10 Victor 234 Sleeper - w/ Top 2 often running easy
11 Irondequoit 278 No seniors - wait 'til next year
12 Fairport 283 Nice rally thanks to large squad
13 Gates Chili 345 Well, Jordan is running quite well
14 Arcadia 346 Lipani got some help
15 Athena 376 Top 3 are new this year and Ngabo is tough
16 Penfield 380 Expected more support behind Gumina
17 Batavia 419 Never can tell with small teams
18 Canandaigua 543 Some gains
19 Odyssey 549 Saving it for end of year?
20 Olympia 586 New #2 is the improvement
21 Churchville Chili 587 A new Scott Bagley was not enough
22 Spencerport 663 Slipped more than expected
23 East Rochester 723 Small team
24 East Irondequoit 770 Small team

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