OK, I took my year-end individual ratings from last year, pulled out all of the seniors, added league newcomers, Canandaigua and HF-L and generated ratings for the new set of girls. The teams now stack up like this:
| 1 | Mendon | 71 |
| 2 | Canandaigua | 72 |
| 3 | Honeoye Falls-Lima | 140 |
| 4 | Brighton | 167 |
| 5 | Thomas | 167 |
| 6 | Hilton | 188 |
| 7 | Rush Henrietta | 245 |
| 8 | Spencerport | 247 |
| 9 | Sutherland | 273 |
| 10 | Penfield | 279 |
| 11 | Victor | 318 |
| 12 | Fairport | 335 |
| 13 | Athena | 354 |
| 14 | Gates Chili | 377 |
| 15 | Olympia | 405 |
| 16 | Brockport | 458 |
| 17 | Churchville Chili | 496 |
| 18 | Irondequoit | 505 |
| 19 | East Irondequoit | 517 |
| 20 | Odyssey | 546 |
| 21 | Schroeder | 552 |
| 22 | Batavia | 598 |
| 23 | Arcadia | 711 |
| 24 | East Rochester | 718 |
This methodology misses some of the information we learned during track. For example, HF-L added Amanda Moreland beginning with last year's Nordic Ski season. She should drop almost 50 points off HF-L's score, which still wouldn't be enough to get into the Mendon - Canandaigua battle, which should lead to an exciting Sectional race, similar to Mendon's 36-37 win last year (not final until Mendon's 6th girl crossed the line ahead of Canandaigua's 5th). But it will be plenty to ensure HF-L returns to the State Meet once again.
The Class AA Sectional race is currently looking wide open. Thomas has the early edge, but not by much over Hilton. And Rush-Henrietta just needs to find one younger girl to replace their two seniors and be formidable once again.
Other track results that may affect the standings include Sutherland's relatively weak performances, and three teams with several notables missing from the outdoor track leaderboards: Canandaigua, Brighton and Penfield. This could be due to other sports, injuries, or just times not being posted, so we'll have to see what happens starting on September 15th.
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