As with the girls a few days ago, I have taken last year's XC data, eliminated the seniors and regenerated the ratings for all Monroe County runners. Note that this also includes Canandaigua and HF-L. Since they did not compete in the league last year, the sample of their results is significantly smaller than for the other teams; however, it does include McQuaid and Sectionals which can give a decent indicator of where they stood last year.
| 1 | Rush Henrietta | 77 |
| 2 | Brighton | 83 |
| 3 | Mendon | 107 |
| 4 | Honeoye Falls-Lima | 118 |
| 5 | Hilton | 240 |
| 6 | Sutherland | 244 |
| 7 | Penfield | 251 |
| 8 | Irondequoit | 257 |
| 9 | Arcadia | 263 |
| 10 | Thomas | 264 |
| 11 | Fairport | 266 |
| 12 | Schroeder | 281 |
| 13 | Victor | 296 |
| 14 | Odyssey | 308 |
| 15 | Brockport | 327 |
| 16 | Spencerport | 337 |
| 17 | Gates Chili | 397 |
| 18 | Athena | 574 |
| 19 | Churchville Chili | 600 |
| 20 | Olympia | 607 |
| 21 | Canandaigua | 628 |
| 22 | East Rochester | 702 |
| 23 | Batavia | inc |
| 24 | East Irondequoit | inc |
Rush-Henrietta is certainly the early favorite, with Brighton, whose top 5 should run just as tight as R-H's, a very close challenger. Mendon faced some losses to graduation, but a runner like VanVleck can bring others around. The same situation exists in HF-L; they drop off substantially after the big two (Deir and Mangan), but when you chase guys like that in practice every day, you tend to improve rapidly. Those are clearly the top 4 teams in the County, so only the A race at Sectionals appears up for grabs (unless Wayne can improve enough to give HF-L a race).
After the top 4 teams, there is a big gap, then everything is up for grabs. Places 5 thru perhaps as high as 16 may not be clear until the County race is over. It should be an exciting year for all of those teams, Schroeder included, as most dual meets will involve at least two teams from that group.
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