Section V XC Championships - Boys Preview

As with the girls, time was limited for detailed analysis outside of Class A, but that won't stop me from making some predictions!  The classes are presented below in the order they will be racing.

Class C
This is a tough class to rate because there are not many runners in the Tully database, so extra research was required.  It looks like Way-Co is a slight favorite over Addison, with Livonia and East Rochester also in contention.  I'm missing a few schools, but the scores could be something like this:

1. Wayland-Cohocton 127 
2. Addison 132 
3. Livonia 172 
4. East Rochester 189 
5. Williamson 204 
6. Dansville 210 
7. Marcus Whitman 214 
8. Notre Dame-Batavia 219 
9. Midlakes 244 
10. Odyssey School 245 
11. Byron-Bergen 250 
12. Hornell 251 
13. Waterloo 255 
14. Palmyra-Macedon 282 
15. Holley 284 
16. Mynderse Acad 343 
17. Le Roy 367 
18. North Rose-Wolcott 513 

The individual race will be ALL Jeff Antolos of Notre Dame-Batavia.  He is capable of winning by a minute.Mitchell Priebe (Midlakes), Jacob Hanss (ER), David Smith (Holley) and Cody Martini (Pal-Mac) are most likely to round out the top five.  There are probably another seven kids with a decent shot of breaking onto the state meet team.

Class D

This could be an exciting team race.  Campbell-Savona (rankings: 14, 12) is a slight favorite, but within striking distance are three other teams: Honeoye (17, 17), Wheatland-Chili (21, 18) and Red Creek (18, 20).

Gabe Rodriguez of Geneseo is the prohibitive favorite - he should win by over a minute.  Cal-Mum's Everett Geiger and Jon Pearl of Campbell-Savona should have a nice battle for second.  The other favorites for making the trip to Elma Meadows next week include: Alex Hogue (Wheatland-Chili), Aamir Zain (HAC), and Mitch Cicero and Jon Borek (both of Perry).  Runners from Cal-Mum, Avon and Kendall are right behind.

Class B

Pittsford Mendon (#2 in both polls) is certainly the team to beat.  They had an excellent run last week for the surprise victory at the Monroe County Championships.  Another performance like that will earn a victory.  But never count HF-L (#12 in both) out.  Even though they are ranked third among Class B schools in Section V, they sat out Counties are always ready to race at Sectionals.  Brighton (6, 9) should be in the picture as well, while Sutherland (22, 18) looks like fourth, although Arcadia has been coming on strong.  The computer has this to say about the Monroe County teams:

1. Mendon
2. Honeoye Falls Lima
3. Brighton
4. Sutherland
5. Arcadia
6. Batavia
7. East Irondequoit

I don't think other teams can break up the top five.

Top individuals (there is sure to be a dogfight for the state meet spots):

1. Ronchetti, Will Brighton 16:01
2. Wesley, Jack Mendon 16:03
3. VanVleck, Matt Mendon 16:12
4. Phelan, Will Sutherland 16:14
5. Paganelli, JT Honeoye Falls Lima 16:21
6. Green, Connor Mendon 16:28
7. Mullen, Andrew Brighton 16:28
8. Demmer, Ty Batavia 16:28
9. Lawlor, John Honeoye Falls Lima 16:31
10. Northrup, Brian Arcadia 16:31
11. Cove, Zach Sutherland 16:33
12. Douglas, Langton Honeoye Falls Lima 16:36
13. Doyle, Nathan Mendon 16:46
14. Young, Robert Mendon 16:48
15. Azzara, David Mendon 16:54
16. Leo, Patrick Honeoye Falls Lima 16:54
17. Geraci, Matt Honeoye Falls Lima 16:57
18. Schmitt, Drew Brighton 16:59
19. Simpson, Zachary Brighton 16:59
20. Matthews, Cole Honeoye Falls Lima 17:01

I like Jack Wesley for the win and Will Ronchetti for second, in a repeat of last week's order.

Class A

This should be an incredible team race.  There are no fewer than six ranked teams competing here, making it the best match-up in the state (Section 3 is next with four teams, but three will be fighting for second behind F-M).  R-H (#7 in both polls) gets the deserved respect as the pre-race favorite, and last week showed they may have lessened their fifth man weakness.  Three other teams have very legitimate title shots: Fairport (14, 16), Irondequoit (15, 17) and Thomas (17, 15).  The other ranked teams are Hilton (21, 24) and McQuaid (19, HM).  The computer (which does not have up-to-date McQuaid information) says:

1. Rush Henrietta 73
2. Fairport 77
3. Thomas 87
4. Irondequoit 91
5. Hilton 147
6. Victor 170
7. McQuaid 177
8. Athena 188
9. Schroeder 214
10. Penfield 267
11. Canandaigua 307
12. Spencerport 380
13. Churchville Chili 388
14. Brockport 413
15. Gates Chili 429

The top individuals:

1. Burke, Mickey Rush Henrietta 15:35
2. Root, Brennan Rush Henrietta 15:43
3. Ranke, Tyler Hilton 15:52
4. Pease, Keith Athena 15:56
5. Dyrland, Josh Irondequoit 15:56
6. Scott, Jack Fairport 16:04
7. Schantz, Mike Rush Henrietta 16:11
8. Yost, Nathan Victor 16:13
9. Mertens, George Victor 16:17
10. Johnson, Keith Thomas 16:18
11. Andrievsky, Sasha Thomas 16:20
12. White, Jimmy Fairport 16:20
13. Shanahan, Luke Victor 16:21
14. Penner, Andy Fairport 16:26
15. Muzdakis, Zachary Irondequoit 16:29
16. Neamtu, Nick Thomas 16:30
17. Goldstein, Josh Thomas 16:32
18. Ciolkowski, Nick McQuaid 16:32
19. Wilczewski, James Irondequoit 16:33
20. Paige, Aaron Irondequoit 16:34
21. Wolf, Josh Fairport 16:35
22. Pirnie, Ross Hilton 16:35
23. Sullivan, Michael McQuaid 16:37
24. Hatta, Olivier Fairport 16:38
25. Shenal, Patrick Rush Henrietta 16:40
26. Burgin, Will Schroeder 16:40
27. Stuver, A.J. McQuaid 16:41
28. Razavi, Mike Fairport 16:42
29. Kozlowski, Mike Penfield 16:43
30. Mizma, Mitch Hilton 16:43
31. Sargeant, Seamus Fairport 16:44
32. Looby, John Irondequoit 16:49
33. Whitman, Ben Thomas 16:49
34. Witt, Kevin Thomas 16:49
35. Kaukeinen, Britt Irondequoit 16:52
36. Reed, Justin Schroeder 16:52
37. Koenig, Ethan Athena 16:52
38. Larkin, Mike Rush Henrietta 16:54
39. Feola, Nolan Irondequoit 16:55
40. Lauria, Mike Athena 16:56

Well, that's all for tonight!  This will be a Sectional meet well worth attending!