Friday, November 2, 2012

Section V XC Championships - Girls Preview

OK, so work has severely limited my time to look closely at more than Class A, but I have collected some additional information that I have compiled below.  Let's go by Class, in the order of the races...

Class C
I have a niece running in this race, so I admit a bias :-).  On the team side, both of the state rankings call this a two-school race between Wayland-Cohocton and Livonia.  The NYS Sportswriters ranking has them 20th and 24th, respectively, while NY Milesplit ranks them 12th and 14th.  Despite the rankings, I think that Livonia comes in as the slight favorite.  Way-Co's 1-2 punch is incredible, but their 1-5 gap was 3:44 at their league championships, and they lost to Livonia, 82-90 in raw score (there was no official team scoring).

For individuals, Marcus-Whitman's Audrey Button may be able to split the Way-Co pair, Meghan Curtin and Amanda Booth, but Addison's Brenna Lyons and Anna Warner from Batavia-Notre Date should not be far behind.  If Way-Co wins the team title, a couple more individual spots would open up, with the leading contenders being Laurie Call (Notre Dame), Alex Shipman (Livonia), Erica Barbay (Mynderse), Evelyn Pinneo (Penn Yan) and Lindsay Chamberlain (Attica), in a very tight group.

Class D
The polls show Batavia-Notre Dame in Class D, but I'm fairly certain they have been moved up to Class C.  That leaves Oakfield-Alabama as the clear favorite in this race - they are ranked 3rd and 6th in NYSSWA and Milesplit; however, there are several teams within striking distance: Red Creek (9th in both), Geneseo (10th and 11th), and perhaps even Pembroke (22nd and 19th).

The individual race has a clear favorite in Shealyn Doody of Red Jacket.  Anna Phillips (Avon) and Samantha VanGee (Marion) are safe bets to join the state meet team, but the last two spots have some competition - leading contenders are Anna Miskell (Geneseo), Raelynn Moskal (Alexander), and Megan Bouton (Campbell-Savona).

Class B
HF-L are the solid favorites to win here.  They rested their top seven again at the County Meet to make sure they would be ready for this weekend.  Mendon did not seem to have a top performance in placing 4th last weekend, perhaps to save their best for Sectionals.  In addition to HF-L (6th and 12th) and Mendon (16th in both), Sutherland also appears in both polls, at 22nd.  I don't have time to do full team scoring, as I would have to add the following non-Monroe County league teams: Mercy, Wayne, Geneva, Aquinas, Newark, and perhaps some of the eligible city schools (SOTA, Monroe, Charlotte, Freddie Thomas and Marshall), although last year, only SOTA had any participants (they were Class A).  But here is the predicted order of finish:

  1. HF-L
  2. Mendon
  3. Sutherland
  4. Brighton
  5. Mercy
  6. Eastridge
  7. Wayne
  8. Batavia
  9. Geneva
  10. Aquinas
  11. Arcadia
  12. Newark
  13. SOTA

And the leading individuals look like this:
1 Cole, Hannah
Honeoye Falls Lima 18:33
2 Douglas, Riley
Honeoye Falls Lima 18:47
3 Visca, Mary
Sutherland 18:55
4 Mevorach, Martha
Honeoye Falls Lima 18:59
5 Yancey, Colleen
Mendon 19:19
6 Pieper, Maddy
Mendon 19:44
7 Campbell, Alexa
Brighton 19:58
8 Pieper, Lilly
Mendon 19:59
9 Novak, Allie
Mendon 20:00
10 Wojnowski, Veronica
East Irondequoit 20:08

Michelle Collins of Geneva is the non-Monroe County runner with the best shot at cracking the top 10.

Class A
I'm not expecting East or Wilson to field teams in this race, so the team scoring should only involve Monroe County league schools.  Of course we expect a tight three-team battle for this one.  R-H pulled off a tight 97-102-112 win over Penfield and Canandaigua last week, with Siobhan Quinn nearly ten spots farther back that she could have been.  But Canandaigua's 5th girl scored 19 points more than expected, and Penfield's usual number four missed expectations by 16 points.  So, all three teams have an opportunity for improvement.  Once again, I have to give R-H the edge, after seeing them knock off Penfield in the dual meet, and pull off the win last week.  The computer is saying otherwise:


  1. Penfield 76
  2. Rush Henrietta 81
  3. Canandaigua 84
  4. Hilton 137
  5. Thomas 143
  6. Schroeder 152
  7. Irondequoit 177
  8. Fairport 184
  9. Victor 210
  10. Churchville Chili 271
  11. Athena 320
  12. Brockport 342
  13. Gates Chili 381
  14. Spencerport 401

This race is likely to be the toughest race in the state in which to qualify as an individual.  The leaders look like this:
  1. Lembo, Katie Penfield 17:35
  2. Jensen, Kennedy Canandaigua 17:51
  3. Tuttle, Georgia Irondequoit 17:56
  4. Palermo, Val Schroeder 18:20
  5. O'Neill, Karli Churchville Chili 18:30
  6. O'Hara, Eileen Thomas 18:37
  7. Tate, Tiffany Irondequoit 18:39
  8. Quinn, Siobhan Rush Henrietta 18:42
  9. Paratore, Amanda Schroeder 18:45
  10. Albrecht, Autumn Brockport 19:01
The Boys preview will have to wait until tonight...


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