Monroe County Preview - Girls

So, in the better late than never category, here are the computer predictions for the Girls Varsity race tomorrow.  Again I'll just spit out the numbers, blindly, before making some comments.

Penfield	95
Canandaigua	97
Rush Henrietta	103
Honeoye Falls Lima	128
Mendon	166
Hilton	186
Thomas	205
Schroeder	206
Fairport	234
Irondequoit	246
Victor	281
Sutherland	293
Churchville Chili	400
Brighton	407
Batavia	448
East Irondequoit	450
Athena	466
Brockport	511
Gates Chili	556
Spencerport	613
Odyssey	628
Arcadia	656
East Rochester	736
Olympia	inc

As with the boys, it looks like the R-H selective racing has hidden the most likely outcome, but it highlights just how close the top of this race should be.  It will be interesting to see how the top three teams approach this race, given the fact that they go head-to-head again next weekend, with a trip to the state meet on the line.  Will they try to make a statement at the County Meet, and perhaps gain some momentum and a psychological edge over the other teams, or will they play down the importance of this meet and leave it all for next weekend.

I give the slight edge to R-H.  Their youngest girls held up well on the hills of Mendon East to secure the dual meet win over Penfield in the last week of the season, and younger girls tend to be more negatively impacted by that kind of course.  HF-L may abdicate the 4th place spot, in favor of saving it for Sectionals, which may make for an interesting battle for the next spots, with Mendon only slightly ahead of Hilton, who is only slightly ahead of both Webster schools.  Fairport comes in very close together and may place high enough to challenge as well.