Girls A
Canandaigua has looked solid all year, but won by "only" 15 points at Counties. Given that their top 3 runners can't score much lower, it will be up to the D'Amore twins to put the meet away. R-H, on the other hand, while running quite well at Counties, had 12 points available within 2 seconds of their 3-4-5 pack, which would have made it a 3-point meet. Meanwhile Penfield, 10 points behind R-H, was running without their #4, which likely cost them about 14 points. So, there are three teams with a legitimate shot at advancing to the State meet. Here is the prediction:
- Canandaigua 66
- Rush Henrietta 82
- Penfield 90
- Schroeder 142
- Hilton 157
- Fairport 158
- Victor 169
- Thomas 172
- Irondequoit 196
- Athena 283
- Brockport 289
- Churchville Chili 293
- Spencerport 415
- Gates Chili 448
- Edison inc
- Monroe/Wilson/Jeff inc
As for individuals, this race is loaded: 26 of the top 32 girls from the Monroe County Championships are in this race! I expect a repeat of Counties at the very top, with Meghan McCormick holding off Katie Lembo and Leila Mantilla. Here is a look at the possible top 50:
- McCormick, Meghan Canandaigua 18:20
- Lembo, Katie Penfield 18:28
- Mantilla, Leila Penfield 18:33
- McCormick, Kate Canandaigua 19:00
- Palermo, Val Schroeder 19:07
- Paratore, Amanda Schroeder 19:08
- Jensen, Kennedy Canandaigua 19:10
- Albrecht, Autumn Brockport 19:15
- O'Neill, Karli Churchville Chili 19:29
- O'Hara, Eileen Thomas 19:33
- Greiner, Lizzie Rush Henrietta 19:35
- Tuttle, Georgia Irondequoit 19:35
- MacDonald, Alana Rush Henrietta 19:47
- Sedita, Erin Fairport 19:52
- Lawler, Maggie Victor 19:52
- O'Hara, Shannon Thomas 19:58
- Griffin, Tishae Rush Henrietta 19:59
- Tate, Tiffany Irondequoit 20:00
- Hughes, Ashton Fairport 20:01
- Quinn, Siobhan Rush Henrietta 20:02
- Greiner, Becky Rush Henrietta 20:02
- Heyer, Lindsay Penfield 20:07
- Palmeri, Amanda Hilton 20:08
- Keene, Haley Hilton 20:17
- D'Amore, Lauren Canandaigua 20:21
- Schnaufer, Illana Penfield 20:21
- Dehm, Olivia Victor 20:26
- Camillaci, Zoe Hilton 20:28
- D'Amore, Kendall Canandaigua 20:36
- Jones, Emma Rush Henrietta 20:41
- Griffiths, Monica Hilton 20:41
- Fries, Aly Victor 20:43
- Bailey, Alaina Schroeder 20:44
- Adams, Laura Thomas 20:46
- McElligott, Meghan Fairport 20:48
- Garbinski, Dana Canandaigua 20:49
- Cok, Sarah Penfield 20:51
- Lafferty, Courtney Athena 20:53
- Bourcy, Abby Penfield 20:53
- Roose, Serena Brockport 20:56
- Wagner, Clara Irondequoit 20:58
- Glitch, Kristina Rush Henrietta 21:00
- Rosenthal, Jane Fairport 21:04
- Miller, Hayley Canandaigua 21:05
- Bellinger, Megan Victor 21:05
- Yurksaitis, Sarah Schroeder 21:08
- Lenhardt, Carly Fairport 21:09
- Fahrenholz, Tori Penfield 21:09
- Bucci, Loryn Fairport 21:09
- Erickson, Kate Victor 21:14
Boys A
The boys team race should be all R-H. They scored 30 points at Counties, and actually won a dual meet against the other 23 schools in the county by taking the top 3 spots! Irondequoit has a good team, ranked 19th in the state, but Thomas was only 11 points back at Counties, while Victor did not seem to be racing hard (MJ Erb and Connor Hayward back in 23-24), and could also challenge for second.
- Rush Henrietta 25
- Irondequoit 105
- Victor 113
- Thomas 115
- Hilton 146
- Fairport 152
- McQuaid 202
- Athena 226
- Penfield 239
- Schroeder 254
- Gates Chili 267
- Canandaigua 316
- Churchville Chili 356
- Brockport 415
- Spencerport 444
- Edison 505
- Monroe/Wilson/Jeff inc
The boys individual race will also feature R-H. Only 21 of the top 32 from Counties are in the A race this weekend - not as lopsided as the girls race, and 6 of them are from R-H. Travis Jordan from Gates-Chili and MJ Erb from Victor are the only guys with a reasonable shot of preventing another 1-2-3 finish by R-H. The battle for the individual state meet slots will be intense. The computer sees as many as 6 runners within 4 seconds battling for the final spot. This has been the year of the Sophomore, and behind Mickey Burke, there are 3 more with a good chance to be on the bus for the state meet: Tyler Ranke from Hilton, Josh Dyrland from Irondequoit and Thomas's Josh Goldstein. In all, 12 of the top 36 spots could be Sophomores in this race.
- Kozyra, Nate Rush Henrietta 16:09
- Burke, Mickey Rush Henrietta 16:15
- Sweeney, Andrew Rush Henrietta 16:16
- Jordon, Travis Gates Chili 16:23
- Erb, M.J. Victor 16:33
- Ranke, Tyler Hilton 16:33
- Dyrland, Josh Irondequoit 16:45
- Raymond, Alex Rush Henrietta 16:46
- Bigenwald, Eric Irondequoit 16:50
- Goldstein, Josh Thomas 16:51
- Burke, Colby Rush Henrietta 16:52
- Sullivan, Michael McQuaid 16:53
- Hayward, Connor Victor 16:54
- Scott, Jack Fairport 16:54
- Andrievsky, Sasha Thomas 16:54
- Root, Brennan Rush Henrietta 16:57
- Kassu, Mintesinot Athena 17:05
- Johnson, Keith Thomas 17:06
- Roth, Corey Hilton 17:07
- Burgin, Will Schroeder 17:10
- Koss, Nick Irondequoit 17:11
- Shanahan, Luke Victor 17:13
- White, Jimmy Fairport 17:15
- Stuver, A.J. McQuaid 17:17
- Moran, Mitch Penfield 17:18
- Mizma, Mitch Hilton 17:22
- Penner, Andy Fairport 17:24
- Schantz, Mike Rush Henrietta 17:25
- Beaujon, Allen Canandaigua 17:26
- Paige, Aaron Irondequoit 17:27
- Trombley, Nick Canandaigua 17:28
- Kozlowski, Mike Penfield 17:28
- Peffley, Chris Thomas 17:30
- Sykora, Josh Brockport 17:31
- Buri, Josh Hilton 17:32
- Mertens, George Victor 17:33
- Steiger, Aidan Victor 17:34
- Wilczewski, James Irondequoit 17:36
- Baller, Mitchell Thomas 17:36
- Reed, Justin Schroeder 17:36
- Wagner, Ray Irondequoit 17:38
- Lauria, Mike Athena 17:39
- Wolf, Josh Fairport 17:39
- Pease, Keith Athena 17:42
- Razavi, Mike Fairport 17:42
- Ciolkowski, Nick McQuaid 17:42
- Tassone, Brendan Penfield 17:43
- Staveski, Adam Fairport 17:44
- Whitman, Ben Thomas 17:44
- Muzdakis, Zachary Irondequoit 17:46
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