Thursday, November 3, 2011

Section V Preview - Class D

OK, on to the little schools.  This is the toughest for me to analyze, since we don't really race any of these schools.

Girls D

The current state rankings include the following Section V schools: #4-Geneseo; #5-Oakfield-Alabama; #8-Red Creek; #12-Campbell-Savona (Honeoye was 13th last week), so I focused my attention on those schools (plus Addison), and it looks like we could see the results shake out like this:

  1. Geneseo 89
  2. Oakfield-Alabama 114
  3. Red Creek 119
  4. Campbell-Savona 180
  5. Honeoye 201
  6. Addison  285

So, it looks like it really comes down to a three-team race, with Geneseo having the edge.  It should be close.  Note - Pavilion is Class D, so this comment belongs here, not in the Class C outlook: Pavilion never found a fifth girl, so they will not factor in the team results.

The individuals that could be in the running for a spot at the State meet:

  1. Liz Valento Pavilion 
  2. Sarah Coon Red Jacket 
  3. Jeanette Schramm Harley-Allendale 
  4. Heather Yuhnke Pavilion 
  5. Megan Bouton Campbell-Savona 
  6. Raylene Wade Red Creek 
  7. Brenna Lyons Addison 
  8. Anna Warner Notre Dame-Bat 
  9. Erin Schiano Keshequa 
  10. Casey Emerson Geneseo 
  11. Jordan Prescott Pavilion 
  12. Brianna Horn Geneseo 
  13. Ashley Covel Oakfield-Alabama 
  14. Lindsay Ryan Geneseo 
  15. Jenny Crossen Oakfield-Alabama 
  16. Faith McDonald Red Creek 
  17. Allyson Fenton Clyde-Savannah 
  18. Anna Phillips Avon

Boys D

This team race has the potential to be the most exciting of the day.  As with the Class D girls, there are 5 teams in the current state ranking list: #6-Geneseo; #7-Batavia-Notre Dame; #8-Oakfield-Alabama; #9-Campbell-Savona and #14-Addison.  So, four teams that are right in a row in the state rankings, plus a team that beat the fourth team by one point at their County Championships last Friday.  Taking into account the information that I could dig up, my best guess scrambles those rankings a bit, although Geneseo retains a slight edge.  Here's how I see it:

  1. Geneseo 107
  2. Campbell-Savona 118
  3. Addison 123
  4. Notre Dame-Batavia 155
  5. Oakfield-Alabama 187

With the number of schools in this race, these scores can change dramatically.  Although Harley's fourth and fifth kids are back a bit, with 3 runners in the list below, they could be a factor.

Here are the top 22 individuals, according to Tully, with the top 3 being well ahead of the pack (and spaced somewhat themselves):

  1. Gabe Rodriguez Geneseo 
  2. Jeff Antolos Notre Dame-Bat 
  3. Devon Rodriguez Geneseo 
  4. Jon Pearl Campbell-Savona 
  5. Thomas Abbey Addison 
  6. Ethan Richardson Pavilion 
  7. Connor George Oakfield-Alabama 
  8. Gabe Bender Oakfield-Alabama 
  9. Everett Geiger Caledonia Mumford 
  10. Andrew Fischer Notre Dame-Bat 
  11. Mitch Cicero Perry 
  12. Gaylen Snyder Avon 
  13. Ben Ivie Wheatland Chili 
  14. Jon Chapin Canisteo-Greenwood 
  15. Russell Hegedorn Harley Allendale 
  16. Alex Hall Caledonia Mumford 
  17. Matt Gibney Lima Christian 
  18. Mike Verstraete Marion 
  19. Arron Carlson Notre Dame-Bat 
  20. Aamir Zain Harley Allendale 
  21. Duncan Phillips Harley Allendale 
  22. Seth Burton Addison

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