Canandaigua certainly suffered the greatest loss to graduation, losing 3 girls ranked in the top 31 in Monroe County last year, and they did not have as much depth as some of the other teams. Thomas lost 3 of the top 57, including Eileen, but they had a number of girls not far behind. Mendon lost 3 of the top 63, but not only did they have decent depth, they also had an off-season transfer: Mary Barger, one of the top F-M runners from last year has moved to their part of the Pittsford school district. Irondequoit loses their 1-2 punch that made them competitive in many meets last year. R-H also loses two top runners, and we lost Val and Katie from the top of the Varsity ranks.
Ignoring the shuffling that happened during track season, here is what the returning team scores look like at this time:
1 | Penfield | 70 |
2 | Rush Henrietta | 79 |
3 | Mendon | 106 |
4 | Honeoye Falls Lima | 128 |
5 | Fairport | 154 |
6 | Hilton | 163 |
7 | Thomas | 199 |
8 | Schroeder | 221 |
9 | Canandaigua | 245 |
10 | Victor | 271 |
11 | Sutherland | 280 |
12 | Brighton | 307 |
13 | Batavia | 344 |
14 | Irondequoit | 406 |
15 | East Irondequoit | 431 |
16 | Brockport | 485 |
17 | Gates Chili | 498 |
18 | Spencerport | 539 |
19 | Odyssey | 560 |
20 | Athena | 563 |
21 | Churchville Chili | 580 |
22 | Arcadia | 623 |
23 | East Rochester | inc |
24 | Olympia | inc |
So, we start out in the 8th spot, with quality teams just behind us (Canandaigua, Victor and Sutherland), and many of our usual nemesis just ahead of us (Thomas, Hilton and Fairport).
TullyRunners sees things a fair amount differently, for the state-wide rankings they have:
7. Penfield 400
17. Mendon 495
22t. Rush-Henrietta 550
22t. Honeoye Falls-Lima 550
27. Hilton 560
Among Class A, they have Hilton 11th and Fairport 23rd. I think that is more of a tip of the hat to Hilton's past performance than a reflection of where the two teams stand based on last year's results. And at the top, I expect a very tight battle (again) between Penfield (5th on Tully) and R-H (9th).
In Class B, I expect HF-L (13th on Tully) to provide a strong challenge to Mendon (9th).
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